19:00 Hammarby IF – Kalmar

Hammarby at home this season: 4 – 2 – 3.
Kalmar away this season: 2 – 1 – 7.
Statistically likely outcome %: 57 – 16 – 27.
I think this looks like a Hammarby win and I chase the higher odds with stake refund at a 1 goal win. Kalmar comes to this match with 3 defeats in a row while Hammarby comes with fine results for their last 3 matches. They played a draw against in good form Elfsborg (0-0) that just won 3-0 against Kalmar.
Note that Hammarby has not played 4 consecutive matches without a loss this season.
Kalmar seems to miss forward David Elm for this match.