Sarpsborg – Stabaek
Norway, tippeliga; 31.05
Sarpsborg play on artifical turf, that is one of the reasons why I am not going with higgher stakes.
Hosts have been rather good lately but I wouldn't say impressive, they were rather lucky to get some of the points with late goals. Also, they didn't face so strong opponents lately. They have a rather short squad and apart from 2 missings from start of season, they will have to go without key defender Hansesn and two players who are also valuable for team – Breive and Thomassen.
Stabaek were left by many key players but they managed to get results in tipeliga, also progressed in cup. They are playing very well in the back and play fast. Currently hoding 2nd position is a big surprise but I believe in this game they can take at least a point. Again, best XI are available for coach Bradley, no injuries for back choise players as well. They played 2 strong opponents last 2 rounds and managed to take 1 point but managed to create a lot of chances and create good impression, actually scored 5 goals.
In last Tippeliga season Stabaek were better in both games agaist Sarsborg, managed to take 1 win and 1 draw. I believe it's worth trusting them even away from home, having in mind their great momentum and defence.
A 50/50 match to me, this +0.25 is a nice value imo.