23:30 Fluminense – Cabofriense RJ

The hosts are not doing so well lately, as Fluminense FC won only one point from its previous two games in this tournament against Macae Esporte Futebol Clube (0-1) and Esporte Clube Tigres do Brasil (1-1).

However, it should be noted, that this team will be with new head coach for this match against Associacao Desportiva Cabofriense and usually the motivation of the players is on its highest level under such circumstances.

The importance of this match for Fluminense FC is another reason for my bet, as the hosts just can’t afford to lose points in the last four rounds of the regular season, if they want to finish among the first four teams in the standings.

Associacao Desportiva Cabofriense is a team, whose potential is far below the potential of the home team, the visitors are far from their best shape in this moment (five consecutive defeats and 0-1-5 2-9 in six games in March) and for this match they will be without three key players – Victor Silva (defender), Titi (midfielder) and Marco Aurelio (striker / 3 goals).

I think, that the home team own enough potential to win this match with more than one goal difference.