Tsurenko have very positive score this season from 7/3 until her opponent season began desperately, with even 0/4. Rogers is a young tennis player, her 23 years and she dont have experience enough. At least as far as I could see. Tsurenko win last match in Sydney easily with 6-1, 6-4. In addition to the details, Rogers was lost and of Davis, Tomljanović and Sharapova. Definitely not in form, and despite being Tsurenko for five places worse placed here for a reason, because the favorite game satisfactory and has quite ok score. Tsurenko is still better on clay courts, but quite done well this season on hard. Her victories were mostly the qualifications so that they are not famous names opposite her, and did not achieve any victory in the main draw. Now has a great chance to make a step and that because Rogers is under pressure, must win and I think she is too young to resist this pressure. Of course, in women's tennis everything is possible and we can never know what will happen on the ground. But despite this I think is the favorite Tsurenko here.
Good Luck!