This is clash which will be held indoors and that is why I recommend low to medium stake in this one. Melzer is more successful and experienced on indoors hard courts where his strong and tricky serve with the left hand is hard to handle. In the same time after Melzer won the Austrlian open first round versus Estrella he is quite modest and lost five of his sic matches, winning only versus J.Sels ranked out of the first 900. Ymer slowly bur surely is improving not just his ranking, but game also and he will be high motivated and lifted from the crowd in Sweden, so I think on this high odd we should back Ymer.
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